2024 BMW Championship odds, picks, field: Surprising predictions by golf model that has ruled out 13 majors

Scottie Scheffler is poised to cap off a stellar season, but first he needs a solid performance at the 2024 BMW Championship, which starts Thursday at 9:25 a.m. ET. The world No. 1 returned to PGA action last week after winning gold at the 2024 Paris Olympics, but finished tied for fourth at the FedEx St. Jude Championship. He hasn’t played at Castle Pines since 2006, though finishing fourth on the PGA Tour in total driving (91) will give him a boost in the thin mountain air at the BMW Championship 2024.

Scheffler is the +330 favorite this week on the PGA odds board, followed by Xander Schauffele (+550), Rory McIlroy (+1200) and Collin Morikawa (+1400). Before you decide your picks for the 2024 BMW Championship, be sure to check out the golf predictions and projected leaderboard from the proven computer model at SportsLine.

SportsLine’s proprietary model, created by DFS pro Mike McClure, has become very popular since the PGA Tour resumed in June 2020. In fact, the model is up over $9,500 on its best bets since the restart, and is winning one tournament after another.

The same model has also driven the 13 major tournaments entering the weekend, including the 2024 Masters – the third Masters in a row – and this year’s PGA Championship and US Open. Anyone who has followed it has reaped huge benefits.

Now that the field for the 2024 BMW Championship has been set, SportsLine has simulated the tournament 10,000 times and the results are astonishing. Visit SportsLine now to see the projected leaderboard.

Top predictions for the 2024 BMW Championship

The model is expecting a big surprise at the 2024 BMW Championship: McIlroy (12-1), a 26-time winner on the PGA Tour and one of the top favorites, stumbled this week and failed to even finish in the top five. McIlroy’s performance has been extremely inconsistent since finishing runner-up at the US Open in June. He tied for fourth at the Genesis Scottish Open, but missed the cut at the British Open and finished 68th at the FedEx St. Jude Championship.

McIlroy has struggled with accuracy off the tee this season, ranking 83rd in driving accuracy (60.94%). He’s also been inaccurate with his irons, ranking 105th in hitting greens in regulation percentage (65.66%). He’s not a strong pick to win it all and there are far better values ​​in the 2024 BMW Championship field. Here’s a look at who else is fading.

Another surprise: 30-1 longshot Tommy Fleetwood made a strong run to the title. The Olympic silver medalist is ninth on the PGA Tour in total driving (107), which gives him an edge competing at the high altitude in Denver. Castle Pines has also been compared to Augusta National, where Fleetwood finished T3 at the 2024 Masters.

The Englishman has also enjoyed plenty of success at the BMW Championship, having finished in the top-10 three times this season. He has finished in the top-25 in all three of his previous starts at the tournament, including an eighth-place finish in 2018. His current form and his past performances at this event make it clear why the model has high hopes for Fleetwood to go strong at the 2024 BMW Championship. See who else to back here.

How to qualify for the 2024 BMW Championship

The model is also targeting two other golfers with odds of 30-1 or better who would be strong contenders for the title. Anyone who backs these longshots could win the majors. You can see just the model’s picks here.

Who will win the 2024 BMW Championship, and which longshots will shock the golf world? Check out the BMW Championship 2024 odds below and then visit SportsLine to see the projected BMW Championship leaderboard, all from a model that has knocked out 13 golf majors, including the last three Masters and this year’s three majors.

2024 BMW Championship Odds, Top Contenders

Get full 2024 BMW Championship info, best bets and predictions here.

Scottie Scheffler +330
Xander Schauffele +550
Rory McIlroy +1200
Collin Morikawa +1400
Hideki Matsuyama +1800
Viktor Hovland +1800
Ludvig Öberg +2000
Patrick Cantlay +2200
Tony Finau +3000
Tommy Fleetwood +3000
Windham Clark +3000
Sam Burns +3500
Billy Horschel +4000
Aaron Roy +4000
Corey Conners +4000
Justin Thomas +5000
Cameron Young +5000
Russell Henley +5000
Sungje Im +4500
Adam Scott +5500
Robert McIntyre +6000
Sahith Theegala +5500
Jason Day +6000
Akshay Bhatia +6500
Byong Hun An +6000
Shane Lowry +6000
Matt Fitzpatrick +7000
Davis Thompson +6500
Christiaan Bezuidenhout +7500
Will Zalatoris +7500
Brian Harman +8000
Nick Dunlop +7500
Keegan Bradley +8000
Max Grasserman +9000
Taylor Pendrith +8000
Alex Noren +9000
Denny McCarthy +10000
Eric Cole +11000
Si Woo Kim +11000
Max Homa +11000
Thomas Detry +10000
Sepp Straka +10000
Cam Davis +12000
Tom Hoge +11000
Austin Akrot +12000
J.T. Poston +15000
Stefan Jaeger +17000
Adam Hadwin +17000
Chris Kirk +20000
Mathieu Pavone +22000