2024 Super Bowl Expert Picks: 58 Bets to Place on Super Bowl 58, Chiefs-49ers Player Props, Taylor Swift Theme

Super Bowl LVIII is just two days away, so get ready. The NFL’s championship game is one of the highest-bettaking events on our sports calendar, and it’s expected to remain so, especially with this year’s game taking place in the betting capital of the world: Las Vegas.

In addition to your standard game-focused bets, sportsbooks often have bets that have little (or nothing) to do with the actual contest, allowing everyone to get in on the action. If you are looking to place a bet or two for this game between the San Francisco 49ers and the Kansas City Chiefs, allow us to help you.

We’ll be making a total of 58 bets for Super Bowl LVIII below from some of our CBS Sports staff’s picks, novelty bets, player props and more.

(Super Bowl LVIII will be broadcast on CBS and Nickelodeon and you can stream it paramount+, Here’s how to watch)

CBS Sports Staff Props

Jared Dubin: 49ers win first half, Chiefs win game (+525, Scissors), “The Chiefs have not led at halftime in any of their three Super Bowl appearances in this era (they were tied with the Niners and trailed by both the Bucs and Eagles), so if you think the Chiefs will win, This is better value than just taking the money line.”

Eric Kernish: Team scoring the longest touchdown: 49ers (-142, FanDuel). “The San Francisco 49ers are all about increasing yards after the catch, so it only makes sense that they are the ones chosen for this prop. Expect it to happen in the first half… before Kyle Shanahan’s team disappears down the final stretch.”

Jordan Dajani: The Field Goal Play (via Scissors): For the first scoring play, a KC field goal and a SF field goal are both listed at +360. If you play, say, $20 on each option and hit one, you make a total of $52.

Josh Edwards: Christian McCaffrey’s first touchdown scorer (+360, DraftKings). San Francisco has scored touchdowns on more than half of its first drives this season (10 of 19), while Kansas City has scored touchdowns on only 25% of its opening drives. Christian McCaffrey has scored a touchdown in 13 of 18 49ers games this season.

Shanna McCarriston: Will the QB take a knee on the last play of the game? Yes (+200, FanDuel). The Super Bowl is a battle between the two best teams in the league so in theory it should be a close game. Often the game would come down to the wire, with a last-ditch effort to take down the field or make a field goal to win it all. It is interesting to consider whether the game will end with a victory, or whether it will be a game that will come down to the final seconds. I think we’re getting some value out of kneeling.

Tyler Sullivan: Travis Kelce to win Super Bowl MVP (+1200, DraftKings), I’m a sucker for a good story. If Kelce can repeat what he’s done in the last two rounds with Chiefs wins, he’ll be hoisting the Lombardi Trophy as MVP while Taylor Swift and her latest Grammy watch along. This feels like how this season should end.

John Breech: Total number of players throwing passes: Over 2.5 (+160 on FanDuel). It’s very simple; If you think any player other than the two quarterbacks will throw a pass, you can bet on this prop. The pass doesn’t even have to be completed, just thrown. I think we’ll see at least one trick play and this prop gets hit. And even if we don’t see any trick plays, this prop could still be a hit if one of the quarterbacks suffers a big blow and has to leave the game for a play or two, leaving the backup QB. Is released to throw a pass.

super bowl novelty bets

1. Coin Flip: Tails (+100, DraftKings): The coin toss has come on tails in 30 of the 57 Super Bowls. They say tales never fail.
2. Will a two-point conversion be attempted? Yes (+128, FanDuel).
3. Even the team’s final score to win the game: Yes (-245, FanDuel). Not a profitable number, but the prop has been hit in 10 consecutive Super Bowls and 17 of the last 18.
4. Jersey number of first touchdown scorer: Over 22.5 (-115, DraftKings). This includes players like Christian McCaffrey, Travis Kelce and George Kittle.
5. Smallest touchdown score: Less than 1.5 yards (-170, FanDuel). There have been one-yard touchdowns in four consecutive Super Bowls and seven of the last eight.

player props

1. Nick Bosa will have 2+ sacks (+350, DraftKings):This was actually one of my top five early bold predictions for the Super Bowl. Bosa has recorded 10 sacks in 11 playoff games, and passed Patrick Mahomes once in their last Super Bowl meeting. This year he faces Jawan Taylor, who led the league with 20 penalties allowed in 2023. In the NFC Championship Game against the Lions, Bosa had two sacks.
2. Travis Kelce 20+ first-quarter receiving yards (-110, DraftKings): Kelce recorded 42 receiving yards and a touchdown in the first quarter versus the Ravens. He only had 15 yards on one catch against Buffalo, but that was because the defense couldn’t get it off the field. I think it’s a solid bet.
3. Brock Purdy’s total passes: Under 20.5 (-105, Seager). The under has won five of its last seven games, including the NFC Championship.
4. Brock Purdy’s Total Pass Attempts: Under 31.5 (-140, Seager). The under has won 13 of its last 15 games, including the NFC Championship.
5. Brock Purdy Total Passing Yards: Over 247.5 (-115, Seager). The over has been hit in both playoff games this season.
6. Brock Purdy’s Total Passing Touchdowns: Under 1.5 (-105, Seager). The Under has won four consecutive playoff games.
7. Patrick Mahomes’ total completions: Under 25.5 (-125, Seager). The under has won four of its last six playoff games.
8. Patrick Mahomes’ total passing attempts: over 36.5 (-110, Caesars). The over has been hit in eight of their last 11 playoff games.
9. Patrick Mahomes’ total passing yards: Under 260.5 (-115, Scissors). The Under has swept two of the Chiefs’ three playoff games this postseason. The 49ers have allowed 260 passing yards or less in five straight playoff games.
10. Patrick Mahomes’ total passing touchdowns: over 1.5 (-160, Caesars). The over has been hit in seven of the last nine playoff games.
11. Patrick Mahomes Total Rushing Yards: over 26.5 (-110, Seager), The over has been hit in all three of Mahomes’ Super Bowl appearances.
12. Patrick Mahomes Total Interceptions: Over 0.5 (-110, Seager). Mahomes has thrown four interceptions in three Super Bowl appearances, including two versus the 49ers in Super Bowl LIV. San Francisco has forced an interception in six of its seven Super Bowl appearances.
13. Christian McCaffrey’s total rushing attempts: Under 18.5 (+100, DraftKings), The under has won in five of McCaffrey’s six playoff games.
14. Christian McCaffrey Total Rushing Yards: Under 90.5 (-115, DraftKings), The under has beaten McCaffrey in three of his last four playoff games. The Chiefs haven’t even allowed a rush of 90 yards in 15 consecutive playoff games.
15. Christian McCaffrey scores two total touchdowns: Yes (+245, DraftKings), McCaffrey has scored multiple touchdowns in both playoff games this season.
16. Christian McCaffrey Total Receptions: Over 4.5 (-135, Caesars), McCaffrey has averaged 5.3 receptions per game over the last four playoff games.
17. Isiah Pacheco Total Attempts: Over 15.5 (-130, DraftKings), Pacheco has made 24 rushing attempts in two of the last three playoff games.
18. Isiah Pacheco Total Rushing Yards: Over 65.5 (-125, DraftKings). Pacheco has surpassed this number in all but one of the six playoff games of his career.
19. Isiah Pacheco Total Receiving Yards: Under 16.5 (-114, DraftKings). The Unders have won in four straight playoff games and five of Pacheco’s six career playoff games.
20. Isiah Pacheco Anytime Touchdown Scorer: Yes (-120, DraftKings), Has scored a touchdown in seven consecutive games.
21. Deebo Samuel Total Receptions: Under 4.5 (-110, Caesars), The Under has won eight of its 11 playoff games.
22. Brandon Aiyuk Total Receptions: Under 4.5 (-145, Caesars), The under has hit in his last seven straight playoff games.
23. Brandon Aiyuk Total Receiving Yards. Less than 62.5 (-115, Caesar). Aiyuk has averaged 43 receiving yards in eight career playoff games.
24. Rashi Rice’s total reception: over 6.5 (-105, Caesar). The over has been hit in two of the three playoff games this season.
25. Rashee Rice Total Receiving Yards: Under 66.5 (+100, Seager). The Under has won two of its three playoff games this season.
26. Marquez Valdes-Scantling Total Receptions: Over 1.5 (-120, Seager). The over has been hit in each of the last two playoff games.
27. Marquez Valdes-Scantling Total Receiving Yards: Over 19.5 (-130, Seager). The over has been hit in each of the last two playoff games.
28. George Kittle Total Receptions: Under 3.5 (+115, Caesars), Kittle has gone below that number in seven of his 11 career playoff games.
29. Travis Kelce Total Receptions: Over 6.5 (-140, Seager). The over has been hit in six of Kelce’s last eight playoff games.
30. Travis Kelce EVER Touchdown Scorer: Yes (+100, FanDuel). Kelce has scored a touchdown in eight of his last nine playoff games.

Total

1. Under 47.5 (-105, FanDuel): The under is 28-28 all-time, but he has hit in four of the last five Super Bowls.
2. Kansas City Chiefs Total Points: Over 23.5 (-115, Caesars).
3. San Francisco 49ers Total Points: Under 24.5 (-125, Caesars). The Chiefs have allowed just 16.8 points per game this season. Only one team all year (Packers, Week 13) scored 25 or more points against this defense.

Taylor Swift-themed props

1. Shake It Up: 49ers to score first, Chiefs to win (+350, DraftKings): This followed last year’s game script, where the 49ers went ahead 3–0 in the first quarter, but the lead evaporated in the fourth quarter and the Chiefs won 31–20.
2. Today was a fairy tale: Kelce scores a TD and the Chiefs win (+240, DraftKings): Kelce has scored a touchdown in eight of the last nine playoff games. If you have the Chiefs winning, this is a good bet.
3. Anti-Hero: Brock Purdy 250+ passing yards and 2+ passing touchdowns (+200, DraftKings). Purdy has hit the prop in six of his 16 regular season starts this season, and has zero in his two playoff appearances this postseason.
4. Mine: Travis Kelce will record 87+ receiving yards (yes +190, DraftKings). Kelce has hit this prop in only four regular season games and only one of Kansas City’s three playoff games.
5. Look what you made me do: The Chiefs trailed in the fourth quarter and won the game (yes +500, DraftKings). When these teams met in Super Bowl LIV, the 49ers led by 10 points in the fourth quarter and Kansas City won the game. Can history repeat itself?

long shots

1. Will the final score be a scorecard? Yes +2500 (Fanduel), If you’re unaware, Scoringami is a final score that has never happened before in an NFL game. This is a very distant thing.
2. Position of first touchdown scorer: Quarterback +1000 (FanDuel). A QB has scored a first down touchdown in two of the Chiefs’ three Super Bowl appearances.
3. Super Bowl MVP: Any defensive player +1100 (FanDuel). A defensive player has won Super Bowl MVP in 10 of the last 57 Super Bowls. The last defensive tackle to win it was Von Miller (Super Bowl 50).
4. Super Bowl MVP to be on losing team: Yes +3900 (FanDuel). It’s not a wise bet, but it’s happened once before. Chuck Hawley (Super Bowl V) is the only player to win Super Bowl MVP while being on the losing side of the game.
5. Exact Score Prediction: KC 24 SF 20 (+15000, BetMGM).
6. Will there be overtime? Yes (+900, Caesar), There has only been one overtime game in Super Bowl history (Super Bowl LI).
7. Isiah Pacheco Alternative Rushing Yards: 100+ yards (+425, DraftKings). The 49ers are allowing the most playoff rushing yards per game (159.0) entering the Super Bowl since the 1966 Green Bay Packers.
8. Deebo Samuel will score one rushing and one receiving touchdown: Yes (+3000, FanDuel). Samuel hit this prop twice in the regular season.