2024 Tour Championship odds, predictions, field: Xander Schauffele, Rory McIlroy selected by proven golf model
World No. 1 Scottie Scheffler has topped the FedEx Cup standings for nearly the entire 2024 season, and he sits atop the leaderboard this week at the 2024 Tour Championship. Scheffler has a two-stroke early lead over Xander Schauffele ahead of Thursday’s first round at East Lake Golf Club in Atlanta. The 12-time PGA Tour winner is a -110 favorite (risk $110 to win $100) in the 2024 Tour Championship odds, while Schauffele is +240 and Hideki Matsuyama is +1200. All 30 golfers in the 2024 Tour Championship field are assigned starting strokes based on their position in the standings.
Scheffler has been unable to maintain his early stroke lead in 2022 and 2023, finishing a disappointing T33 at last week’s BMW Championship. Shouldn’t you include him in the 2024 Tour Championship? Before you lock in your picks or PGA props for the 2024 Tour Championship, be sure to check out the golf predictions and projected leaderboard from the proven computer model at SportsLine.
Our proprietary model, created by DFS Pro Mike McClure, has become very popular since the PGA Tour resumed in June 2020. In fact, this model is up over $9,500 on its best bets since the restart, leading tournament after tournament.
The same model has also driven the 13 major tournaments entering the weekend, including the 2024 Masters – the third Masters in a row – and this year’s PGA Championship and US Open. Anyone who has followed it has reaped huge benefits.
With the Tour Championship 2024 field now set, SportsLine simulated the tournament 10,000 times, and the results were astonishing. Visit SportsLine now to see the projected leaderboard.
2024 Tour Championship Golf Top Predictions
One surprise: McIlroy, a four-time major champion and one of the top favorites, is not in the top five this week. McIlroy won the Tour Championship in 2016, 2019 and 2022, entering the tournament with a margin of between 6-1 and 8-1 in all three years. However, he has only one win in an individual event this season, which came three months ago at the Wells Fargo Championship.
McIlroy has struggled to produce consistent results since missing two close putts in the final round of the US Open, finishing outside the top 10 in three of his last four events. He missed the cut at the Open Championship and finished T68 at the FedEx St. Jude Championship to start the playoffs. The model does not expect McIlroy to compete for the title this weekend, suggesting bettors should look elsewhere on the PGA odds board for value.
The model also examines where Schauffele ends up. Schauffele has done his best to push Scheffler for the top spot in the standings, winning the first two majors of his career this summer. He won the PGA Championship before solidifying his No. 2 ranking with a victory at the Open Championship.
Schauffele has finished in the top five in the first two stages of the playoffs, including a T2 finish at the FedEx St. Jude Championship. He ranks second on the PGA Tour in total strokes gained and fifth in total driving, but he ranks 133rd in nearfalls. The 30-year-old has finished in the top five at the Tour Championship five times since his title in 2017, so he’ll be looking to win another title this year. The model just locked in his Xander Schauffele Tour Championship picks here.
How to get selected for the 2024 Tour Championship
The model has revealed where Rory McIlroy and Xander Schauffele stand, as well as identified three golfers whose odds of winning the title are 35-1 or better. Anyone who backs these longshots could have a great time. You can see just the model’s picks here.
Who will win the 2024 Tour Championship, and which longshots will shock the golf world? Check out the Tour Championship 2024 odds below and then visit SportsLine to see the projected Tour Championship leaderboard, all from a model that has picked 13 golf majors, including the last three Masters, the PGA Championship and the US Open.
2024 Tour Championship opening scores, odds of winning
Get complete 2024 Tour Championship information, best bets and predictions here.
Scottie Scheffler (-10) -110
Xander Schauffele (-8) +240
Hideki Matsuyama (-7) +1200
Keegan Bradley (-6) +3500
Ludwig Oberg (-5) +1800
Rory McIlroy (-4) +1800
Collin Morikawa (-4) +2800
Windham Clark (-4) +5000
Sam Burns (-4) +5000
Patrick Cantlay (-4) +3500
Sungjae Im (-3) +4000
Sahith Theegala (-3) +17500
Shane Lowry (-3) +15000
Adam Scott (-3) +10000
Tony Finau (-3) +10000
Byong Hun An (-2) +30000
Viktor Hovland (-2) +8000
Russell Henley (-2) +17500
Akshay Bhatia (-2) +40000
Robert McIntyre (-2) +35000
Billy Horschel (-1) +40000
Tommy Fleetwood (-1) +12500
Sepp Straka (-1) +50000
Mathieu Pavone (-1) +250000
Taylor Pendrith (-1) +75000
Chris Kirk (E) +200000
Tom Hoge (E) +150000
Aaron Rai (E) +75000
Christiaan Bezuidenhout (E) +100000
Justin Thomas (E) +40000
