2024 Tour Championship odds, predictions, prop bets: Scottie Scheffler picks from proven model
The 2024 FedEx Cup Playoffs will conclude this week with the 2024 Tour Championship at East Lake Golf Club in Atlanta. The top 30 in the FedEx Cup standings will compete this week for their share of the $100 million bonus pool, with the winner getting $25 million. Scottie Scheffler’s six-win season has given him a two-shot lead over Xander Schauffele at the start of the tournament. Scheffler will begin the tournament at 10-under and is a -115 favorite in the 2024 Tour Championship odds (bet $115 to win $100). Meanwhile, Justin Thomas (400-1) was the last player to qualify and will begin the tournament tied for second.
The first round of the 2024 Tour Championship begins Thursday, and there is no 36-hole cut. Since moving from a points formula to a staggered start stroke-play event in 2019, three of the last five FedEx Cup champions have come from behind to win the Tour Championship. Before locking in 2024 Tour Championship picks, Scottie Scheffler props or golf picks on sites like FanDuel, DraftKings, Underdog Fantasy, PrizePicks, or Pick6, be sure to check out golf predictions and projected leaderboards from proven computer models at SportsLine.
Our proprietary model, created by DFS Pro Mike McClure, has become very popular since the PGA Tour resumed in June 2020. In fact, this model is up over $9,500 on its best bets since the restart, leading tournament after tournament.
The same model has also driven the 13 major tournaments entering the weekend, including the 2024 Masters – the third Masters in a row – and this year’s PGA Championship and US Open. Anyone who has followed it has reaped huge benefits.
Now that the Tour Championship 2024 has been confirmed, SportsLine simulated the tournament 10,000 times and the results were astonishing. Visit SportsLine now to see the projected leaderboard.
Top 2024 Tour Championship predictions
A surprise: Collin Morikawa (28-1) is a strong contender for the title. The 27-year-old Morikawa is a six-time PGA Tour winner and two-time major champion and is currently ranked sixth in the Official World Golf Ranking. He will start the tournament tied for sixth at four under par, behind Rory McIlroy, Patrick Cantlay, Wyndham Clark and Sam Burns.
After a difficult 2023 season where he fell out of the top 20 in the world rankings, Morikawa won the Zozo Championship during the PGA Tour fall season and then added six more top-five finishes in 2024, including a T-3 at the Masters. Morikawa has a better chance of winning than his long odds would suggest, so he’s a target for anyone looking for a big payday.
The model also examines where Scheffler (-115) finishes. After battling the Korn Ferry Tour to earn his card in 2019, Scheffler picked up his first win on the PGA Tour at the WM Phoenix Open in February 2022. However, it’s been a whirlwind since then, with Scheffler winning 11 more times over the next 30 months (including two green jackets.)
In 2024, Scheffler has won six times on the PGA Tour and was also an Olympic gold medalist in Paris. However, he is 0-14 in his career in FedEx Cup playoff events and in the past two seasons he has failed to win the Tour Championship despite starting the tournament with the lead. The model just locked in its Scottie Scheffler Tour Championship picks here.
How to get selected for the 2024 Tour Championship
The model is also targeting four other golfers with odds of 28-1 or better to make them strong contenders to win the title. Anyone who backs these longshots can win the big one. You can see just the model’s picks here.
Who will win the 2024 Tour Championship, and which longshots will shock the golf world? Check out the Tour Championship 2024 odds below and then visit SportsLine to see the 2024 Tour Championship projected leaderboard, all from a model that has picked 13 golf majors, including the past three Masters and three of the four majors in 2024.
2024 Tour Championship odds, field, starting scores
Get complete 2024 Tour Championship information, best bets and predictions here.
Scottie Scheffler (-10) -115
Xander Schauffele (-8) +240
Hideki Matsuyama (-7) +1200
Keegan Bradley (-6) +1800
Ludwig Oberg (-5) +2800
Rory McIlroy (-4) +3500
Collin Morikawa (-4) +4000
Windham Clark (-4) +5000
Sam Burns (-4) +5000
Patrick Cantlay (-4) +3500
Sungjae Im (-3) +4000
Sahith Theegala (-3) +17500
Shane Lowry (-3) +15000
Adam Scott (-3) +10000
Tony Finau (-3) +10000
Byong Hun An (-2) +30000
Viktor Hovland (-2) +8000
Russell Henley (-2) +17500
Akshay Bhatia (-2) +40000
Robert McIntyre (-2) +35000
Billy Horschel (-1) +40000
Tommy Fleetwood (-1) +12500
Sepp Straka (-1) +50000
Mathieu Pavone (-1) +250000
Taylor Pendrith (-1) +75000
Chris Kirk (E) +200000
Tom Hoge (E) +150000
Aaron Rai (E) +75000
Christiaan Bezuidenhout (E) +100000
Justin Thomas (E) +40000
