Appalachian State vs. South Alabama prediction, odds: 2024 college football week 4 picks by proven model

After a record-setting performance last week, the South Alabama Jaguars will take on the Appalachian State Mountaineers on Thursday night in the Sun Belt opener for both teams. South Alabama set a school and Sun Belt record for most points scored in a game with an 87-10 win over Northwestern State last Thursday, while App State defeated East Carolina 21-19. The Jaguars (1-2) finished second in the Sun Belt West with Texas State and Arkansas State at 4-4 in 2023, and were 7-6 overall. The Mountaineers (2-1), who were second in the Sun Belt East at 6-2 a year ago, finished 9-5 overall.

Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET at Kidd Brewer Stadium in Boone, N.C. Appalachian State holds a 4-1 series lead, and has won the last four meetings, including a 31-7 victory in Boone in 2021. The Mountaineers are 7-point favorites in the latest South Alabama vs. Appalachian State odds via SportsLine consensus, while the over/under for total points is 64. Before making any Appalachian State vs. South Alabama picks, check out the college football predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Since its launch, it has generated a profit of over $2,000 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. It is also coming off a profitable 13-9 season on top-rated spread picks and is off to a 5-2 start on over/under picks this season. Anyone who has followed it has seen strong returns.

The model has its eyes set on South Alabama vs. Appalachian State. You can see its picks by visiting SportsLine. Here are several college football betting lines for the spread, money line and over/under for the game:

• South Alabama vs. Appalachian State Spread: Appalachian State -7
• South Alabama vs. Appalachian State Over/Under: 64 points
• South Alabama vs. Appalachian State Money Line: Appalachian State -271, South Alabama +217
• South Africa: The Jaguars have posted a game total above 2.50 units in eight of their last 13 games.
• APS: The Mountaineers have underscored the game total in nine of their last 14 games (+3.50 units)
• South Alabama vs. Appalachian State picks: See the picks at SportsLine

Why should you support Appalachian State?

Senior quarterback Joey Aguilar has had a stellar start to the season, passing for 300 or more yards in each of the Mountaineers’ two wins. In a 38-10 win over East Tennessee State, he completed 22 of 36 passes for 326 yards and two touchdowns. On Saturday at East Carolina, he completed 32 of 47 passes (68.1%) for 424 yards and two scores. He was also picked off twice. Last season for the Mountaineers, Aguilar led the attack by passing for 3,757 yards and 33 touchdowns against just 10 interceptions for a 151.6 rating.

Senior wide receiver Kadin Robinson is one of the Mountaineers’ many weapons on offense. In three games this season, he has 18 receptions for 290 yards (16.1 average), including a long of 47 yards. He has two 100-plus-yard receiving games this season, including a 129-yard performance on seven catches in a win at East Carolina. He had eight receptions in the opener against East Tennessee State. See here which team to pick.

Why should you support South Alabama?

There was no stopping the Jaguars’ offense last week as they racked up 620 total yards. Redshirt freshman quarterback Gio Lopez played just one half, but still completed 15 of 19 passes (78.9%) and scored 257 yards and four touchdowns. He threw for 432 yards and three touchdowns in a 52-38 loss to North Texas on Aug. 31. In parts of two seasons for South Alabama, Lopez completed 82 of 129 passes (63.6%) and scored 1,164 yards and 11 touchdowns with just two interceptions.

Senior receiver Jamal Pritchett has been the Jaguars’ top target. He has 20 receptions for 287 yards (14.4 average) and three TDs. He has caught a touchdown pass in all three games this year. After the opening game loss to North Texas, Pritchett caught 10 passes for 197 yards and a touchdown. In three seasons at South Alabama, he has 79 receptions for 1,194 yards (15.1 average) and 11 TDs. See which team to pick here.

How to choose South Alabama vs. Appalachian State

SportsLine’s model is biased downward overall. It also says one side of the spread hits in more than 50% of simulations. You can only get the pick at SportsLine.

So who wins South Alabama vs. Appalachian State, and which side of the spread hits in over 50% of simulations? Head over to SportsLine now to see which side of the South Alabama vs. Appalachian State spread to jump on, all from an advanced model that’s made over $2,000 on its FBS college football picks since its inception, and find out.