Best NFL Football Knockout, Survivor Pool Picks, Advice, Strategy for 2024 Week 1: Fade this home favorite
Creating Week 1 NFL Survivor Pool picks can be a tricky task as the offseason has brought many changes to the league. Week 1 NFL odds can be a useful tool for creating Week 1 NFL Knockout Pool picks as they highlight the teams most likely to win their opener. Cincinnati is the only team favored by at least a touchdown in Week 1, listed at -8.5 against New England. Buffalo (vs. Arizona) and Seattle (vs. Denver) are both favorites by 5.5 points in their respective games, while New Orleans (vs. Carolina) and San Francisco (vs. Jets) are both favorites by four. Which teams can you feel good about in your 2024 NFL Eliminator Pool picks? Before finalizing any Week 1 NFL Survivor picks, check out which teams the red-hot SportsLine Projection Model has fully banking on.
The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, has generated over $7,000 in gains for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 1 of the 2024 NFL season with an incredible 181-129 run on top-rated NFL picks dating back to the 2017 season. It is also on a 35-21 roll on top-rated NFL picks since Week 7 of 2022.
The model has placed in the top 10 in straight-up NFL picks on NFLPickWatch four of the last six years and beaten more than 94 percent of CBS Sports Football Pick’Em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way ahead of the game.
Now, it has turned its attention to the latest Week 1 NFL odds and has locked in its Week 1 Survivor Pool pick. You can see who the model is favoring this week only at SportsLine.
Top Week 1 NFL Survivor Pool Predictions
In Week 1 of the 2024 NFL season, the model is shying away from the Miami Dolphins, even though they are coming off an 11-6 season and are the favorites over a Jaguars team that went 9-8 and missed the playoffs. The Dolphins have 20 players who were not on their 53-man roster last season, so they are dealing with a lot of turnover going into the season. They are going to play without rookie wide receiver Odell Beckham Jr. in Week 1, as he has already been placed on IR, leaving the team with a small wide receiver room.
Their offensive line suffered a significant loss in the offseason with Robert Hunt moving to Carolina, and their defensive line lost Christian Wilkins. Jacksonville has been a dangerous road team over the past two seasons, covering the spread in nine of their last 12 road games. The Dolphins went 2-4 in their final six games last season, so the model recommends avoiding them at the start of the 2024 campaign. Here’s a look at which team to pick.
How to Select the Week 1 NFL Survivor Pool
Instead, the model is backing a surprise home team that wins outright in nearly 80% of simulations. The time to pick this team is now, and you can watch the game only on SportsLine.
Which surprise team should return to your Week 1 Survivor pool? Visit SportsLine now to see which team you think will win in Week 1, all from an advanced computer model that consistently crushes the NFL and has raised more than $7,000 since its debut.